Japan: pre-qualifying
Quite a lot of
important off-track stuff to consider before we come to the race
weekend. Most obviously, a few days after Volkswagen buying Red Bull
became a story it emerged the car maker has been cheating on
emissions tests. This has led to multi-billion dollar fines being
mooted in the media, and the CEO’s resignation.
Naturally, this throws
into significant doubt the potential deal with Red Bull. It may yet
happen, or be delayed, but we shall have to wait and see.
On a related note,
Ferrari has indicated it will offer Red Bull engines. This would
probably be for a couple of years whilst VW [perhaps] develops their
own engine. However, Red Bull, maintaining its deserved reputation
for entitled whining, now wants a works deal (parity with Ferrari,
rather than with Ferrari’s other customer teams). If not, they’re
threatening to quit the sport.
Given that Ferrari has
offered at very short notice to provide engines (a not inconsiderable
undertaking due to the staffing/infrastructure requirements, not to
mention Red Bull’s treatment of Renault), this is yet more pathetic
dummy-spitting. For four years Red Bull had total dominance, winning
every title. They barely mentioned Renault. After one ‘moderate’
year (they had 3 wins) and one ‘poor’ year (they’ve had a
number of podium finishes) they’re in open warfare with their
engine supplier.
It’s pathetic.
Lotus’ financial woes
continue, as they were locked out of their own hospitality in Japan.
It seems the Renault deal is more or less done for the team, though,
and hopefully that’ll resolve everything.
Perez is to remain at
Force India. There had been murmurings he might go to Lotus, to take
a seat which may be vacated if Grosjean goes to Haas, as is rumoured.
Button has said it’s McLaren or nothing for him, and it’s
expected his future will be confirmed in the near future.
Both qualifying and the
race may be wet, so check the forecast. In the wet, I’d expect that
to relatively help Red Bull and hinder Ferrari, and do significant
harm to Williams. Verstappen was looking pretty good in an early wet
session (perhaps practice) this season, and Button’s excellent in
wet-dry conditions.
P1 was very wet, to the
extent only 12 drivers set flying laps. For the sake of completeness,
the top 10 were: Sainz, Kvyat, Rosberg, Vettel, Hamilton, Verstappen,
Raikkonen, Massa, Ericsson and Bottas.
P2 was also pretty
soggy, but some times were set on intermediates. Kvyat was fastest,
ahead of Rosberg and Hamilton, followed by Ricciardo and Vettel.
Raikkonen, Sainz, Verstappen, Nasr and Maldonado rounded out the top
10.
Hamilton seemed a bit
off Rosberg’s pace in both sessions, but they were both wet which
means that it’s difficult to draw a firm conclusion. Kvyat looked
good in both.
Given there are just 2
practice sessions to go on (I’m not getting up at 4am to see how P3
went) and both were wet, it’s unlikely I’ll offer a tip, but I’ll
peruse the markets anyway in case something leaps out.
It seems qualifying may
well be dry, which further complicates matters. As well as paying a
modicum of attention to the saturated practice, I thought it useful
to cast an eye over the Silverstone grid, as there are some
similarities between Japan and the UK (in terms of F1 circuits, as
well as constitutional monarchy).
To my surprise, I found
something that tempted me.
Tip: Sainz, reach Q3,
3.5
He was competitive in
the wet and has (in dry qualifying) a recent history of about 50/50
reaching the top 10. The Toro Rossos are roughly on a par with Force
India at recent qualifying, but the Force Indias are 1.5 (Verstappen
is 3.25, but I went for Sainz as he was faster in practice and at
Silverstone).
I was also tempted by
the 4.5 (each way) for Rosberg to win, but thought that a stretch too far.
Oddly, it appears
qualifying starts at 7am. Hmm. Not quite sure what to make of that.
Thought it was 6am, but the BBC coverage is 6-8.30am, and Twitter
seems to agree it starts at 7am. Bit odd.
Morris Dancer
Comments
Post a Comment