Malaysia: pre-qualifying
This is up a day
earlier than usual due to the early nature of the events this weekend
(third practice is 7-8am and I’m not sure I’d be able to listen
that. I’d be up, but have other things to do that early).
Qualifying is at 10am, and I think the race starts at 8am.
Alonso has a 30 place
grid penalty due to having a new engine.
There’s been
confirmation that, after a safety car start in the wet, races in 2017
will be restarted off the line (ie they’ll line up on the grid then
start). I think this is a backward step because the safety car will
be forced to stay out for longer than is currently the case. The race
organisers cannot risk heavy spray at the start because cars could
easily be unsighted and ram into one another, causing carnage. So, a
wet safety car at the start would see it out for longer.
If it’s too wet to
race, don’t race. If it’s dry enough, let them race. The wet tyre
is hardly ever used in race conditions nowadays.
Anyway, onto Malaysia.
A race that has been set back in the calendar after a decade or so
when the F1 bigwigs suddenly decided holding it in monsoon season
might not be terribly clever. Wide track, run off, even with the
monsoon-overlapping calendar slot of previous years it’s been very
unlikely to see a safety car. The 2009 deluge looms large in public
imagination and likely means No Safety Car is too long [weather
forecast permitting -update, rain entirely possible, so no bet this year].
In first practice,
Rosberg was half a second up on Hamilton, who was a similar margin
ahead of Raikkonen. The Finn was a tiny margin faster than Vettel,
who was followed by Alonso, Ricciardo, Verstappen, Hulkenberg, Perez
and Button.
Second practice had
Hamilton fastest by two-tenths over Rosberg, with Vettel half a
second down the road (a quarter of a second up on Raikkonen). Behind
the Ferraris came Verstappen, Perez, Alonso, Ricciardo, Hulkenberg
and Button.
Right now, McLaren are
looking better than I expected, and Force India are also seeming to be in good shape. Ferrari out-pacing Red Bull was entirely expected,
as was Mercedes dominance (after the closer-than-usual race in
Singapore).
No bets on qualifying
for me. Very close between the Mercedes and hard to see anyone else
coming near. I did see Alonso at 5 to reach Q3, but there was only a
tiny sum available, so can’t tip it [plus he has that grid penalty so won't put much effort into qualifying].
I did consider the pole
margin market, which isn’t one of my usual ones, but the timing
splits were a bit awkward.
Anyway, I anticipate a
silver front row, scarlet second row, and a nice qualifying result
for Force India and McLaren.
Rain is possible for
both qualifying and the race.
Morris Dancer
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